Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 90.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 65.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 76.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Beniers
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Beniers
Sundqvist
Last 7: Beniers 5-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
41.3% (492)
+6.0%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
56.3% (16)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
43.2% (81)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Beniers
Sundqvist
Home
49.6% (565)
43.3% (275)
Away
45.2% (546)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Beniers
Sundqvist
P1
48.0%
43.3%
P2
49.0%
41.8%
P3
46.5%
40.1%
OT
23.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |