Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 55.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 74.1%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 70.4%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Beniers
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Beniers
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Beniers
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
2
Beniers
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
45.0% (500)
+3.3%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
54.5% (22)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
46.0% (50)
-2.4%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Beniers
Sundqvist
Home
48.7% (630)
45.5% (255)
Away
46.5% (564)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Beniers
Sundqvist
P1
49.2%
40.9%
P2
45.0%
46.9%
P3
49.3%
48.4%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
47.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |