Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Kelly 41.4% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 53.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.8%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Beniers
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Beniers
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Beniers
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
36.5% (159)
+11.8%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
0.0% (1)
+58.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On power play, Beniers has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Beniers
Kelly
Home
52.4% (460)
35.4% (79)
Away
45.1% (470)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Beniers
Kelly
P1
47.5%
33.8%
P2
50.6%
36.5%
P3
47.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |