Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.5% vs Kelly 41.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 93.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 64.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 76.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Beniers
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Beniers
Kelly
Last 8: Beniers 5-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
0
Beniers
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
2
Beniers
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,610)
41.6% (722)
+4.9%
Power Play
47.1% (350)
0.0% (3)
+47.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
36.5% (170)
+4.9%
On power play, Beniers has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Beniers is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,677).
Beniers shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Home / Away
Beniers
Kelly
Home
48.8% (2,092)
42.2% (457)
Away
44.0% (1,979)
38.6% (438)
By Period
Beniers
Kelly
P1
47.3%
41.5%
P2
47.0%
44.9%
P3
45.5%
35.1%
OT
34.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
46.4%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |