Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Zacha 51.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 69.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 58.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Beniers
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Beniers
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
53.0% (700)
-4.7%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
54.1% (109)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
39.2% (74)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Beniers shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zacha
Home
52.4% (460)
51.6% (438)
Away
45.1% (470)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Beniers
Zacha
P1
47.5%
57.0%
P2
50.6%
48.9%
P3
47.6%
50.5%
OT
62.5%
42.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |