Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Zacha 49.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 58.2%
Neutral zone
Zacha 61.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Beniers
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Beniers
Zacha
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
1
Beniers
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Beniers
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
48.9% (5,156)
-2.4%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
55.7% (813)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
42.2% (557)
-0.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Beniers shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zacha
Home
48.9% (2,195)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Beniers
Zacha
P1
47.2%
49.9%
P2
47.0%
49.2%
P3
45.7%
48.2%
OT
34.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |