Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Carrick 54.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 87.4%
Defensive zone
Beniers 54.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 68.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Beniers
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Beniers
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
55.5% (470)
-7.2%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
50.0% (58)
+0.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Beniers
Carrick
Home
52.4% (460)
58.6% (261)
Away
45.1% (470)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Beniers
Carrick
P1
47.5%
55.9%
P2
50.6%
53.5%
P3
47.6%
55.6%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | OT | 03:38 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |