Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Beniers wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.6% vs Carrick 52.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 87.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 75.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Beniers
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Beniers
Carrick
Last 10: Beniers 2-8 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
1
Beniers
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Beniers
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Beniers
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (3,825)
52.2% (2,544)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
61.3% (75)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
50.8% (435)
-9.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Beniers shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Beniers
Carrick
Home
48.9% (2,195)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
44.0% (2,101)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Beniers
Carrick
P1
47.2%
51.8%
P2
47.0%
52.3%
P3
45.7%
52.6%
OT
34.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | OT | 03:38 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |