Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Beniers wins 45.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 64.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 57.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 62.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Beniers
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Beniers
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Beniers
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Beniers
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (89)
56.5% (712)
-14.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
59.7% (67)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.9% (49)
-44.9%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beniers is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Beniers shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Beniers
Seguin
Home
62.2% (45)
58.5% (402)
Away
23.4% (47)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Beniers
Seguin
P1
51.5%
58.4%
P2
25.0%
54.7%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
42.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |