Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 48.8% vs Seguin 52.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 62.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 52.2%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Beniers
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Beniers
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Beniers
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (862)
53.2% (201)
-4.9%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
60.0% (25)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Beniers shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Beniers
Seguin
Home
52.4% (460)
56.3% (126)
Away
45.1% (470)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Beniers
Seguin
P1
47.5%
44.3%
P2
50.6%
52.1%
P3
47.6%
62.5%
OT
62.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |