Mavrik Bourque vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.5% vs Backlund 49.8% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 69.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Bourque
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (186)
50.5% (944)
-3.7%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
51.5% (66)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
47.1% (297)
-4.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Bourque is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Bourque shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Bourque
Backlund
Home
41.5% (106)
48.1% (636)
Away
48.1% (104)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Bourque
Backlund
P1
40.6%
45.4%
P2
39.0%
54.1%
P3
51.7%
49.2%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%