Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.5% vs Kelly 41.4% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 51.1%
Defensive zone
Bourque 53.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 52.0%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Bourque
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (186)
36.5% (159)
+10.3%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
0.0% (1)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
38.5% (13)
+4.4%
On power play, Bourque has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Bourque is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Bourque shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Bourque
Kelly
Home
41.5% (106)
35.4% (79)
Away
48.1% (104)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Bourque
Kelly
P1
40.6%
33.8%
P2
39.0%
36.5%
P3
51.7%
39.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%