Who wins more faceoffs, Mavrik Bourque or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads the head-to-head 5-1 across 6 faceoffs.

What is Mavrik Bourque's faceoff record against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Mavrik Bourque is 1-5 against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-2, Defensive 0-2, Neutral 1-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Mavrik Bourque or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is the predicted winner with a 57.8% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Mavrik Bourque vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Mavrik BourqueR vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 44.7%). Bourque wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Bourque 46.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+0.9%)

H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 66.9%

Defensive zone Bourque 53.3%

Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 59.6%

Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.8%

42.2%

57.8%

Bourque Nugent-Hopkins

Head-to-Head Record

1 - 5 (6 meetings)

Bourque Nugent-Hopkins

Last 6: Bourque 1-5 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Bourque Nugent-Hopkins

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Bourque Nugent-Hopkins

2 total

Neutral Zone

Even

Bourque Nugent-Hopkins

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Bourque

Nugent-Hopkins

Edge

Even Strength

46.6% (513)

44.8% (8,775)

+1.8%

Power Play

26.1% (23)

50.6% (844)

-24.5%

Penalty Kill

42.9% (28)

37.8% (880)

+5.1%

On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +24.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Bourque is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (425).

Bourque shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,653).

Home / Away

Bourque

Nugent-Hopkins

Home

47.1% (263)

46.5% (5,361)

Away

44.2% (301)

42.8% (5,150)

By Period

Bourque

Nugent-Hopkins

42.7%

45.1%

42.8%

43.9%

50.2%

45.2%

0.0%

43.2%

Final 5 min

52.0%

43.6%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Bourque

48.0%▲

46.5%

45.6%

Nugent-Hopkins

42.0%▼

48.5%

44.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 12, 2026	3	00:00	Neutral	Mavrik Bourque
Mar 8, 2025	3	08:24	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024	3	01:04	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024	2	11:21	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024	2	09:05	Offensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024	2	08:59	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Bourque's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile