Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Bourque wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bourque 46.5% vs Nosek 48.5% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 53.3%
Defensive zone
Bourque 51.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.1%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Bourque
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bourque
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (186)
52.0% (102)
-5.2%
Power Play
23.5% (17)
100.0% (2)
-76.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
29.0% (31)
+13.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +76.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Bourque is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Bourque shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Bourque
Nosek
Home
41.5% (106)
52.0% (50)
Away
48.1% (104)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Bourque
Nosek
P1
40.6%
45.0%
P2
39.0%
42.0%
P3
51.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%