Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Frost 56.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 55.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 85.9%
Neutral zone
Domi 72.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Domi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Domi
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Domi
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Domi
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
56.0% (755)
-6.2%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
60.1% (173)
-0.1%
On even strength, Frost has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Domi
Frost
Home
51.1% (184)
57.3% (497)
Away
50.3% (143)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Domi
Frost
P1
45.9%
60.2%
P2
51.8%
56.0%
P3
55.1%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
39.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |