Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Frost 50.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 78.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 60.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 70.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Domi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Domi
Frost
Last 10: Domi 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
2
Domi
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
4
3
Domi
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
8
4
Domi
Frost
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
49.7% (3,652)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
55.4% (632)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
55.0% (40)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Domi
Frost
Home
49.8% (2,614)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Domi
Frost
P1
48.7%
51.2%
P2
48.3%
51.3%
P3
49.7%
48.8%
OT
43.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |