Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Domi wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs MacKinnon 46.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Domi
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Domi
MacKinnon
Last 10: Domi 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
2
Domi
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
3
Domi
MacKinnon
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
6
Domi
MacKinnon
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (4,232)
46.0% (11,051)
+2.2%
Power Play
52.7% (622)
53.2% (1,394)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
42.9% (499)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,608).
Domi shoots left. MacKinnon is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,367).
Home / Away
Domi
MacKinnon
Home
49.7% (2,572)
49.6% (6,342)
Away
47.7% (2,323)
43.9% (6,603)
By Period
Domi
MacKinnon
P1
48.8%
47.4%
P2
48.0%
46.5%
P3
49.8%
45.9%
OT
42.6%
47.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |