Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.1%). Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 70.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 64.8%
Neutral zone
Domi 54.7%
Result
Max Domi favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Domi
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Domi
Kuraly
Last 7: Domi 3-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Domi
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
2
1
Domi
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
52.6% (464)
-2.8%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
100.0% (1)
-40.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Domi
Kuraly
Home
51.1% (184)
55.9% (322)
Away
50.3% (143)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Domi
Kuraly
P1
45.9%
55.9%
P2
51.8%
46.7%
P3
55.1%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |