Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 22-16 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 87.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Domi
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
22
(38 meetings)
16
22
Domi
Kuraly
Last 10: Domi 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
7
2
Domi
Kuraly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
11
Domi
Kuraly
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
7
9
Domi
Kuraly
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
56.4% (101)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.4% (1,091)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Domi
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (2,614)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Domi
Kuraly
P1
48.7%
51.2%
P2
48.3%
50.0%
P3
49.7%
50.2%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Max Domi |