Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Aho 50.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 67.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 64.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 51.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Domi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Domi
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Domi
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
50.5% (878)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
53.5% (144)
+6.5%
On power play, Domi has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Domi
Aho
Home
51.1% (184)
53.8% (571)
Away
50.3% (143)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Domi
Aho
P1
45.9%
49.0%
P2
51.8%
51.7%
P3
55.1%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
39.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |