Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 60.0%
Defensive zone
Domi 67.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 64.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Domi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
20
(33 meetings)
13
20
Domi
Aho
Last 10: Domi 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Domi
Aho
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
5
9
Domi
Aho
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
4
Domi
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (4,232)
50.1% (6,415)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.7% (622)
59.1% (1,297)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
46.0% (446)
+2.8%
On power play, Aho has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,287).
Domi shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Domi
Aho
Home
49.7% (2,572)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
47.7% (2,323)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Domi
Aho
P1
48.8%
51.2%
P2
48.0%
52.1%
P3
49.8%
50.8%
OT
42.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |