Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Domi wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.1%
Defensive zone
Domi 70.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 53.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Domi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Domi
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Domi
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
57.1% (368)
-7.3%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
55.2% (96)
+4.8%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Domi is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Domi shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Domi
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (184)
53.9% (230)
Away
50.3% (143)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Domi
Stamkos
P1
45.9%
56.7%
P2
51.8%
54.1%
P3
55.1%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
39.7%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Max Domi |