Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Domi wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 72.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 73.1%
Neutral zone
Domi 73.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Domi
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
17
(26 meetings)
9
17
Domi
Stamkos
Last 10: Domi 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
8
Domi
Stamkos
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
6
Domi
Stamkos
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Domi
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
50.5% (9,825)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
55.2% (1,729)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
49.6% (827)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Domi shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Domi
Stamkos
Home
49.8% (2,614)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Domi
Stamkos
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
48.3%
52.7%
P3
49.7%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:38 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |