Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 63.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Domi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Domi
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (297)
47.2% (687)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
45.0% (20)
+15.0%
On power play, Domi has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Domi is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Domi shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Domi
Gourde
Home
51.1% (184)
44.4% (356)
Away
50.3% (143)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Domi
Gourde
P1
45.9%
42.2%
P2
51.8%
50.0%
P3
55.1%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |