Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 32-24 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 66.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Domi
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
32
(56 meetings)
24
32
Domi
Gourde
Last 10: Domi 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Domi
Gourde
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
8
9
Domi
Gourde
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
14
Domi
Gourde
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
48.4% (4,987)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
57.4% (376)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
40.0% (555)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Domi is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,370).
Domi shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Domi
Gourde
Home
49.8% (2,614)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Domi
Gourde
P1
48.7%
49.8%
P2
48.3%
47.5%
P3
49.7%
47.5%
OT
43.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |