Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs McCarron 54.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 82.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 52.0%
Neutral zone
Kunin 65.0%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Kunin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kunin
McCarron
Last 10: Kunin 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Kunin
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
5
Kunin
McCarron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
54.2% (756)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
55.1% (158)
-7.3%
On even strength, McCarron has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kunin is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Kunin shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Kunin
McCarron
Home
45.9% (194)
54.6% (445)
Away
48.0% (204)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Kunin
McCarron
P1
43.2%
53.6%
P2
46.3%
55.6%
P3
52.1%
53.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |