Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Backlund 52.6%
Defensive zone Backlund 57.5%
Neutral zone Backlund 58.6%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
McCarron Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 6 (8 meetings)
2
6
McCarron Backlund
Last 8: McCarron 2-6 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McCarron Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
McCarron Backlund
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCarron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
50.5% (944)
+2.3%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
51.5% (66)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
47.1% (297)
+5.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +33.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backlund
Home
52.8% (477)
48.1% (636)
Away
51.8% (442)
51.4% (671)
By Period
McCarron
Backlund
P1
56.2%
45.4%
P2
52.4%
54.1%
P3
48.7%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%
49.0%
52.3%
Backlund
50.0%
50.0%
49.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 3, 2026 2 19:16 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 2 00:05 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025 1 11:46 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 1 11:39 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025 1 11:18 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund