Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Backlund 49.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 64.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McCarron
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
McCarron
Backlund
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
McCarron
Backlund
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
8
1
McCarron
Backlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
McCarron
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,791)
49.7% (13,231)
+3.6%
Power Play
46.4% (84)
51.5% (1,323)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (422)
43.9% (2,385)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,305).
McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,158).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backlund
Home
52.2% (1,592)
49.8% (8,434)
Away
53.3% (1,705)
48.3% (8,510)
By Period
McCarron
Backlund
P1
54.3%
48.6%
P2
51.6%
50.3%
P3
52.3%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
32.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |