Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.6% vs Backlund 49.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor McCarron leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone Backlund 63.3%
Defensive zone McCarron 63.4%
Neutral zone McCarron 51.1%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
McCarron Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
15 - 13 (28 meetings)
15
13
McCarron Backlund
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
McCarron Backlund
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
8
1
McCarron Backlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
McCarron Backlund
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCarron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
49.7% (13,463)
+3.6%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
51.5% (1,338)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
43.9% (2,465)
+6.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +6.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,251).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backlund
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
McCarron
Backlund
P1
53.8%
48.5%
P2
52.3%
50.3%
P3
51.9%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%
49.0%
52.7%
Backlund
50.0%
50.0%
49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 3, 2026 2 19:16 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 2 00:05 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025 1 11:46 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 1 11:39 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025 1 11:18 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Jan 4, 2025 3 17:40 Defensive Michael McCarron
Jan 4, 2025 3 17:24 Defensive Michael McCarron
Jan 4, 2025 3 14:37 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 4, 2025 1 15:41 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 4, 2025 1 04:10 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 15, 2024 3 01:07 Offensive Michael McCarron
Nov 15, 2024 1 11:05 Offensive Michael McCarron
Nov 15, 2024 1 01:43 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 4, 2024 3 08:17 Offensive Michael McCarron
Jan 4, 2024 3 04:11 Offensive Michael McCarron
Jan 4, 2024 3 03:59 Offensive Michael McCarron
Jan 4, 2024 2 14:07 Offensive Mikael Backlund