Michael McCarron vs Morgan Frost

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.6% vs Frost 50.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor Frost leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Frost 81.2%
Defensive zone McCarron 84.8%
Neutral zone Frost 50.9%
Result Michael McCarron favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
McCarron Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 9 (17 meetings)
8
9
McCarron Frost
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Frost

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
5
McCarron Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
2
McCarron Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron Frost
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCarron
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
49.7% (3,652)
+3.6%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
55.4% (632)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
55.0% (40)
-4.9%
On power play, Frost has a +10.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
McCarron
Frost
Home
52.3% (1,696)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
McCarron
Frost
P1
53.8%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
51.3%
P3
51.9%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
64.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%
49.0%
52.7%
Frost
68.0%
63.0%
50.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 3, 2026 3 16:44 Defensive Michael McCarron
Jan 3, 2026 3 16:38 Defensive Michael McCarron
Jan 3, 2026 3 02:05 Defensive Michael McCarron
Jan 3, 2026 2 06:57 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025 3 19:21 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025 3 04:33 Offensive Morgan Frost
Nov 1, 2025 3 04:19 Defensive Morgan Frost
Nov 1, 2025 2 17:07 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025 2 12:48 Offensive Morgan Frost
Nov 1, 2025 2 00:30 Offensive Morgan Frost
Nov 1, 2025 1 04:15 Neutral Michael McCarron
Dec 21, 2023 3 19:59 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 21, 2023 2 12:14 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 21, 2023 2 07:24 Defensive Morgan Frost
Dec 21, 2023 1 14:34 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 12, 2023 2 19:35 Neutral Michael McCarron
Mar 27, 2022 2 12:25 Offensive Morgan Frost