Michael McCarron vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Frost 50.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 81.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
McCarron
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
McCarron
Frost
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
5
McCarron
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
2
McCarron
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
49.7% (3,652)
+3.6%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
55.4% (632)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
55.0% (40)
-4.9%
On power play, Frost has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
McCarron
Frost
Home
52.3% (1,696)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
McCarron
Frost
P1
53.8%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
51.3%
P3
51.9%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
64.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |