Michael McCarron vs Morgan Geekie
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Geekie 47.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 84.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 88.1%
Neutral zone
Geekie 50.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
McCarron
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
McCarron
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
46.7% (120)
+6.1%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
48.6% (35)
-30.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
0.0% (3)
+52.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
McCarron shoots right. Geekie is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
McCarron
Geekie
Home
52.8% (477)
46.8% (77)
Away
51.8% (442)
45.7% (81)
By Period
McCarron
Geekie
P1
56.2%
42.4%
P2
52.4%
49.1%
P3
48.7%
47.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
35.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |