Michael McCarron vs Morgan Geekie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Geekie 48.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 85.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 55.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 70.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
McCarron
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
McCarron
Geekie
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
10
McCarron
Geekie
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
2
McCarron
Geekie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
2
McCarron
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
48.7% (2,310)
+4.6%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
46.0% (189)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
45.7% (129)
+4.4%
On even strength, McCarron has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
McCarron
Geekie
Home
52.3% (1,696)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
McCarron
Geekie
P1
53.8%
48.6%
P2
52.3%
48.9%
P3
51.9%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |