Michael McCarron vs Ridly Greig
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Greig 49.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 70.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 54.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 60.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
McCarron
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
McCarron
Greig
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
McCarron
Greig
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
McCarron
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
48.7% (1,144)
+4.6%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
56.8% (74)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
47.2% (178)
+2.9%
On power play, Greig has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
McCarron
Greig
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.9% (688)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
48.0% (708)
By Period
McCarron
Greig
P1
53.8%
46.0%
P2
52.3%
51.8%
P3
51.9%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |