Michael McCarron vs Ryan Hartman
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Hartman 45.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
McCarron 64.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 96.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 86.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
McCarron
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
8
(26 meetings)
18
8
McCarron
Hartman
Last 10: McCarron 5-5 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
6
McCarron
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
9
0
McCarron
Hartman
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
8
2
McCarron
Hartman
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
45.2% (4,279)
+8.1%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
47.3% (446)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
42.4% (262)
+7.7%
On even strength, McCarron has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
McCarron
Hartman
Home
52.3% (1,696)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
McCarron
Hartman
P1
53.8%
46.1%
P2
52.3%
42.9%
P3
51.9%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |