Michael McCarron vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McCarron 67.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 51.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
McCarron
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
McCarron
Kuraly
Last 10: McCarron 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
4
McCarron
Kuraly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
5
McCarron
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
51.6% (5,161)
+1.7%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
56.4% (101)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
44.4% (1,091)
+5.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kuraly
Home
52.3% (1,696)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
McCarron
Kuraly
P1
53.8%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
50.0%
P3
51.9%
50.2%
OT
33.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |