Michael McCarron vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 82.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
McCarron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
McCarron
Monahan
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
6
McCarron
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
8
2
McCarron
Monahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
McCarron
Monahan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
51.1% (11,407)
+2.2%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
53.6% (2,582)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
45.9% (772)
+4.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
McCarron
Monahan
Home
52.3% (1,696)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
McCarron
Monahan
P1
53.8%
51.0%
P2
52.3%
51.7%
P3
51.9%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |