Who wins more faceoffs, Michael McCarron or Sebastian Aho?

Michael McCarron leads the head-to-head 8-1 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Michael McCarron's faceoff record against Sebastian Aho?

Michael McCarron is 8-1 against Sebastian Aho in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-1, Defensive 5-0, Neutral 2-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Michael McCarron or Sebastian Aho?

Michael McCarron is the predicted winner with a 60.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Michael McCarron vs Sebastian Aho

Michael McCarronR vs Sebastian AhoL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.1% vs Aho 50.5% (+1.8%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Aho 84.6%

Defensive zone McCarron 85.2%

Neutral zone Aho 57.1%

Result Michael McCarron favored at 60.3%

60.3%

39.7%

McCarron Aho

Head-to-Head Record

8 - 1 (9 meetings)

McCarron Aho

Last 9: McCarron 8-1 Aho

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Even

McCarron Aho

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: McCarron

McCarron Aho

5 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: McCarron

McCarron Aho

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McCarron

Aho

Edge

Even Strength

52.8% (697)

50.5% (878)

+2.3%

Power Play

18.2% (11)

53.5% (144)

-35.3%

Penalty Kill

52.6% (211)

44.3% (61)

+8.3%

On power play, Aho has a +35.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Aho shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).

McCarron shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).

Home / Away

McCarron

Aho

Home

52.8% (477)

53.8% (571)

Away

51.8% (442)

46.9% (512)

By Period

McCarron

Aho

56.2%

49.0%

52.4%

51.7%

48.7%

50.3%

0.0%

58.8%

Final 5 min

50.9%

49.4%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McCarron

38.0%▼

49.0%

52.3%

Aho

60.0%▲

50.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Dec 17, 2025	3	11:42	Neutral	Michael McCarron
Dec 17, 2025	2	18:55	Offensive	Sebastian Aho
Dec 17, 2025	2	18:44	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Dec 17, 2025	2	13:54	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Dec 17, 2025	2	09:07	Offensive	Michael McCarron
Dec 17, 2025	2	04:02	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Dec 6, 2025	3	00:08	Neutral	Michael McCarron
Dec 6, 2025	1	17:14	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Dec 6, 2025	1	09:45	Defensive	Michael McCarron

McCarron's Profile | Aho's Profile