Michael McCarron vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Johnston 48.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 65.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 85.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 62.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McCarron
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McCarron
Johnston
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
McCarron
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
0
McCarron
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
47.3% (666)
+5.5%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
50.7% (69)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
51.4% (35)
+1.2%
On power play, Johnston has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCarron is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (274).
McCarron shoots right. Johnston is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johnston
Home
52.8% (477)
47.5% (364)
Away
51.8% (442)
48.0% (406)
By Period
McCarron
Johnston
P1
56.2%
49.4%
P2
52.4%
46.9%
P3
48.7%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |