Michael McCarron vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Johnston 49.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 67.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 67.0%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
McCarron
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
McCarron
Johnston
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
7
McCarron
Johnston
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
0
McCarron
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McCarron
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
49.1% (2,232)
+4.2%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
52.5% (179)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
44.7% (237)
+5.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Johnston is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johnston
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
McCarron
Johnston
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
52.3%
48.1%
P3
51.9%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |