Michael McCarron vs Wyatt Johnston

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). McCarron wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.6% vs Johnston 49.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor Johnston leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone Johnston 67.7%
Defensive zone McCarron 67.0%
Neutral zone Johnston 53.9%
Result Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
McCarron Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 10 (20 meetings)
10
10
McCarron Johnston
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Johnston

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
7
McCarron Johnston
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
0
McCarron Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McCarron Johnston
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCarron
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
49.1% (2,232)
+4.2%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
52.5% (179)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
44.7% (237)
+5.4%
On power play, Johnston has a +7.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
McCarron shoots right. Johnston is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (648).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johnston
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
McCarron
Johnston
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
52.3%
48.1%
P3
51.9%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%
49.0%
52.7%
Johnston
40.0%
49.0%
48.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 21, 2026 1 14:21 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Feb 28, 2026 3 05:31 Neutral Michael McCarron
Feb 28, 2026 2 14:19 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Feb 28, 2026 1 14:26 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 8, 2025 2 00:57 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Oct 26, 2025 3 02:33 Defensive Michael McCarron
Oct 26, 2025 3 02:26 Defensive Michael McCarron
Oct 26, 2025 2 03:11 Defensive Michael McCarron
Oct 26, 2025 1 18:03 Offensive Michael McCarron
Oct 26, 2025 1 17:59 Offensive Michael McCarron
Oct 26, 2025 1 12:57 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Apr 3, 2025 2 15:07 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Apr 3, 2025 2 04:37 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Apr 3, 2025 2 00:18 Defensive Michael McCarron
Oct 10, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Michael McCarron
Feb 15, 2024 2 15:30 Offensive Michael McCarron
Jan 12, 2024 3 07:11 Offensive Wyatt Johnston