Michael McCarron vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.1% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 63.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.0%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 53.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
McCarron
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (697)
52.5% (320)
+0.3%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
33.3% (3)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (211)
42.4% (59)
+10.2%
On power play, Ostapchuk has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
McCarron shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Home
52.8% (477)
49.1% (171)
Away
51.8% (442)
52.1% (211)
By Period
McCarron
Ostapchuk
P1
56.2%
50.4%
P2
52.4%
46.8%
P3
48.7%
55.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%