Michael McCarron vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.6% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 68.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 65.2%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 52.8%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Last 6: McCarron 3-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
3
McCarron
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (2,926)
49.1% (632)
+4.2%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
28.6% (7)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.1% (469)
45.5% (66)
+4.6%
On power play, McCarron has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
McCarron shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
McCarron
Ostapchuk
Home
52.3% (1,696)
48.6% (329)
Away
53.1% (1,785)
48.4% (376)
By Period
McCarron
Ostapchuk
P1
53.8%
48.5%
P2
52.3%
46.4%
P3
51.9%
50.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:35 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:54 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |