Michael Rasmussen vs Steven Lorentz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Rasmussen wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 47.8% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 54.5%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 54.6%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 63.2%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Lorentz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (248)
51.4% (74)
-4.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (2)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
42.3% (26)
+1.5%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Rasmussen shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Home
50.0% (98)
52.9% (68)
Away
45.4% (174)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Rasmussen
Lorentz
P1
40.2%
58.6%
P2
55.8%
45.0%
P3
43.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |