Michael Rasmussen vs Steven Lorentz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.4%). Look for Lorentz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Rasmussen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 48.3% vs Lorentz 48.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 53.9%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 56.1%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 53.9%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Last 7: Rasmussen 2-5 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
4
Rasmussen
Lorentz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,870)
48.9% (1,125)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.9% (154)
50.0% (26)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (147)
41.8% (91)
-0.3%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,349).
Rasmussen shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Lorentz
Home
48.4% (1,087)
50.6% (609)
Away
48.1% (1,084)
46.3% (633)
By Period
Rasmussen
Lorentz
P1
47.8%
53.0%
P2
49.5%
46.7%
P3
47.0%
46.2%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
48.2%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |