Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 26-13 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 64.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Evans
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
13
(39 meetings)
26
13
Evans
Zibanejad
Last 10: Evans 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
7
Evans
Zibanejad
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
6
3
Evans
Zibanejad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
14
3
Evans
Zibanejad
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (3,740)
50.9% (11,756)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.2% (1,852)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,228)
41.6% (1,796)
+5.5%
On power play, Evans has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Evans is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,301).
Evans shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
Evans
Zibanejad
Home
53.3% (2,621)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
51.0% (2,418)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Evans
Zibanejad
P1
54.0%
50.4%
P2
50.9%
49.7%
P3
52.0%
49.9%
OT
46.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |