Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs Frost 50.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 31-30 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 60.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Zibanejad
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
30
(61 meetings)
31
30
Zibanejad
Frost
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
8
17
Zibanejad
Frost
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
15
6
Zibanejad
Frost
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
8
7
Zibanejad
Frost
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
49.7% (3,652)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
55.4% (632)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
55.0% (40)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Zibanejad shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Frost
Home
51.6% (7,603)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Zibanejad
Frost
P1
50.4%
51.2%
P2
49.7%
51.3%
P3
49.9%
48.8%
OT
48.7%
64.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |