Mika Zibanejad vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 49 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zibanejad 50.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor Zibanejad leads 68-40 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone Zibanejad 63.9%
Defensive zone Zibanejad 79.7%
Neutral zone Zibanejad 84.7%
Result Mika Zibanejad favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Zibanejad MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
68 - 40 (108 meetings)
68
40
Zibanejad MacKinnon
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
24
14
Zibanejad MacKinnon
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
12
9
Zibanejad MacKinnon
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
32
17
Zibanejad MacKinnon
49 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
46.1% (11,264)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
53.2% (1,421)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
42.8% (502)
-1.2%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Zibanejad shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Home
51.6% (7,603)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
P1
50.4%
47.4%
P2
49.7%
46.6%
P3
49.9%
46.1%
OT
48.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%
53.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
44.0%
50.5%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 6, 2025 2 00:44 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 20, 2025 3 07:57 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Nov 20, 2025 3 00:24 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 20, 2025 2 02:49 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 26, 2025 3 09:18 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 3 06:03 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 26, 2025 3 00:12 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 2 17:44 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 2 17:42 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 2 03:03 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 2 00:22 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 1 08:36 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Jan 26, 2025 1 05:43 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 26, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Jan 14, 2025 OT 02:57 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 14, 2025 3 10:09 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 14, 2025 3 03:57 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 14, 2025 2 03:59 Defensive Mika Zibanejad