Mika Zibanejad vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 68-40 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 63.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 79.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 84.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
40
(108 meetings)
68
40
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
24
14
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
12
9
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
32
17
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,756)
46.1% (11,264)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,852)
53.2% (1,421)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (1,796)
42.8% (502)
-1.2%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Zibanejad shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Home
51.6% (7,603)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
48.3% (7,802)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
P1
50.4%
47.4%
P2
49.7%
46.6%
P3
49.9%
46.1%
OT
48.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | OT | 02:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |