Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Foligno 51.8% (-4.1%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Zibanejad
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
58.1% (31)
-4.1%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
50.0% (2)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
50.0% (6)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Foligno
Home
55.2% (656)
56.3% (16)
Away
49.6% (682)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Zibanejad
Foligno
P1
56.3%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
66.7%
P3
51.2%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
56.4%