Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Foligno 49.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 60.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 59.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Zibanejad
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zibanejad
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
49.5% (291)
+3.8%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
55.8% (43)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
47.2% (53)
-0.9%
On power play, Foligno has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Foligno
Home
49.8% (466)
48.9% (178)
Away
54.0% (530)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Zibanejad
Foligno
P1
52.9%
43.0%
P2
51.2%
55.9%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |