Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Paul 53.6% (-2.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 60.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Zibanejad
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
53.7% (354)
-0.4%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
59.0% (61)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
52.9% (34)
-6.6%
On power play, Paul has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Paul
Home
49.8% (466)
55.1% (216)
Away
54.0% (530)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Zibanejad
Paul
P1
52.9%
54.9%
P2
51.2%
54.5%
P3
51.7%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%