Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Roy 51.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 57.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Zibanejad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Zibanejad
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
51.9% (547)
+1.4%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
54.1% (37)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
53.3% (92)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zibanejad shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Roy
Home
49.8% (466)
54.0% (328)
Away
54.0% (530)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Zibanejad
Roy
P1
52.9%
53.5%
P2
51.2%
51.6%
P3
51.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |