Mika Zibanejad vs Noah Cates

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zibanejad 51.8% vs Cates 45.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor Zibanejad leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone Zibanejad 62.4%
Defensive zone Zibanejad 91.8%
Neutral zone Zibanejad 83.1%
Result Mika Zibanejad favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Zibanejad Cates
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 4 (13 meetings)
9
4
Zibanejad Cates
Last 10: Zibanejad 8-2 Cates

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad Cates
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad Cates
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zibanejad
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (807)
45.5% (756)
+7.8%
Power Play
47.6% (42)
42.1% (114)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (147)
44.7% (47)
+1.6%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +7.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Cates shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Zibanejad shoots right. Cates is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Cates
Home
49.8% (466)
46.2% (468)
Away
54.0% (530)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Zibanejad
Cates
P1
52.9%
46.0%
P2
51.2%
47.5%
P3
51.7%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
58.0%
53.0%
52.0%
Cates
50.0%
45.5%
45.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 9, 2026 3 15:28 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Mar 9, 2026 3 12:31 Offensive Noah Cates
Mar 9, 2026 2 15:27 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Mar 9, 2026 2 03:54 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Mar 9, 2026 1 00:30 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Feb 26, 2026 3 07:28 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 17, 2026 3 16:13 Defensive Noah Cates
Jan 17, 2026 3 05:10 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 17, 2026 3 02:37 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 17, 2026 2 13:14 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Dec 20, 2025 1 19:24 Neutral Mika Zibanejad
Dec 20, 2025 1 16:36 Neutral Noah Cates
Dec 20, 2025 1 07:49 Offensive Noah Cates